Roberto Bautista-Agut has been in strong form recently, winning four of his last five matches. He reached the quarterfinals in Mallorca before losing to Gaël Monfils in three sets. At Wimbledon, Agut cruised through his first-round match against Marterer in straight sets, showcasing his efficient play with minimal breakpoints offered and saved.
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Roberto Bautista
In the second round, Agut faced Lorenzo Sonego in a tough four-set battle. Despite facing 12 breakpoints, Agut displayed resilience under pressure, saving 10 of them and securing the win. His previous Wimbledon campaign ended in a first-round defeat against Safiullin last year.
On the other hand, Fabio Fognini has also shown solid form, winning three of his last five matches. He reached the round of 16 in Mallorca before losing to Mensik in three sets, marking his first grass court tournament of the season. At Wimbledon, Fognini defeated van Assche in the first round, displaying excellent composure under pressure by saving 10 out of 11 breakpoints.
In the second round, Fognini overcame Ruud in four sets, continuing his steady performance. Last year, he did not participate in any grass court events, and in 2022 Wimbledon, Fognini was eliminated in the first round by Griekspoor.
Betting Analysis
According to bookmakers, Bautista-Agut enters this match as the favorite, reflecting his recent form and historical performance on grass courts. However, Fognini’s strong showing in Wimbledon so far suggests he could challenge Agut.
Given the competitiveness expected in this matchup, a value bet lies in Fognini covering the games handicap. The odds for Fabio Fognini at +3.5 games handicap are currently at 1.91 on bet365, indicating a favorable return if he can maintain his solid play and keep the match closely contested against Bautista-Agut.
Match Preview: Tommy Paul vs. Alexander Bublik
Tommy Paul has been in excellent form, winning seven consecutive matches. He recently triumphed at a tournament in London, defeating Musetti in straight sets. At Wimbledon, Paul secured a four-set victory over Pablo Martinez in the first round and followed up with a hard-fought five-set win against Virtanen in the second round, showcasing his resilience after being down 1-2 in sets. Last year, he reached the third round at Wimbledon before losing to Lehecka.
Alexander Bublik, in contrast, has won three of his last five matches. He exited early in Eastbourne but reached the round of 16 in Halle before losing to Eubanks in three tight sets. At Wimbledon, Bublik overcame Mensik in a five-set battle in the first round and then defeated Cazaux in straight sets in the second round. Last year, Bublik reached the round of 16 at Wimbledon before losing a tough five-set match to Andrey Rublev.
Betting Analysis
Tommy Paul is considered the favorite according to bookmakers, though his second-round performance showed vulnerabilities. Bublik, on the other hand, delivered a strong performance in his second-round match, suggesting he could pose a challenge to Paul.
Given Bublik’s recent form and performance at Wimbledon, there’s potential value in betting on him to go deep in this tournament. His odds might be favorable after his solid display in the previous rounds.
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