NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions, office pool, plus survivor picks for Week 12, 2022

November 25, 2022Last Updated: November 25, 2022

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Underdogs of four-plus points have fared historically well against the spread this season, covering in 65% of games. That’s the highest cover percentage of dogs of four-plus points since the 1970 merger. This Sunday is likely to have a major impact on that percentage since eight of the 12 games feature teams favored by four or more points per the latest Week 12 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Which teams should you target with your NFL predictions, NFL office pool picks, and NFL survivor pool picks? All of the Week 12 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 12 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 12 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 12 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 12 NFL picks is that the Seahawks (-4) cover the spread at home against the Raiders. Seattle has won and covered in four of its last five games and it has a 3-1 record against the spread overall this season at home. The Raiders picked up a win in Denver in Week 11, but they had lost four of their last five prior to that. They’ve covered just twice in six road games this season.

The Raiders rank near the bottom of the NFL in total defense, and the model projects that the Seahawks will be able to exploit that unit. Quarterback Geno Smith is projected to throw for more than 250 yards and two touchdowns in the simulations. Smith, Kenneth Walker III and DeeJay Dallas will team up to clear 100 yards on the ground. Seattle covers more than 60% of the time, making it one of the Week 12 NFL best bets. See which other teams to pick here.

Top Week 12 NFL survivor picks

The model’s Week 12 NFL knockout pool picks say to avoid the Broncos, even though they are favorites over the Panthers. Carolina is turning to Sam Darnold under center and hasn’t gotten a TD pass from a starting quarterback since Week 8. He will make his season debut against a team whose offense is unequivocally the worst in the NFL, as Denver is averaging the fewest points (14.7).

The Broncos have not won a game in an opponent’s stadium all season, going 0-4 in true road contests. All three of Carolina’s wins have come at home, where it has a positive point differential, a positive turnover differential and has won its last two games, both by double-digits. Denver just cut leading rusher Melvin Gordon, while wide receiver Jerry Jeudy (ankle) is unlikely to play, further hampering the Broncos’ struggling offense. The model foresees another dispirited showing by Denver’s offense, and it advises you to look elsewhere with Week 12 NFL knockout pool picks. See which team you should pick here.

Top Week 12 NFL office pool picks

One of the strongest Week 12 NFL football pool picks from the model is that the Buccaneers beat the Browns. Tampa may have found the solution to its run game in its last game, as the team rushed for a season-high 161 yards. Rookie Rachaad White carried the rock 22 times for 105 yards, which was nearly as many yards as he had in his first eight games combined (117). He got the start over Leonard Fournette, and the veteran still had a productive day in a reserve role with 57 yards and a score.

With White’s emergence making the ground games of these two teams a closer to even, Tampa has the offensive edge. The Bucs are projected to score their second-most points of the season, and Tampa is forecasted to win in 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 12 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 12 NFL schedule, and it also says a Super Bowl contender goes down hard. It’s also backing a shocking team in its NFL survivor picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL predictions, NFL pool picks, and NFL survivor picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.