NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions, office pool, top survivor picks for Week 11, 2022

November 16, 2022Last Updated: November 16, 2022

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A potential NFC Championship Game preview and a divisional showdown in Mexico City highlight the Week 11 NFL schedule. The Dallas Cowboys will visit the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday with both teams eyeing the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoff picture. Dallas is a two-point road favorite in the Week 11 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook, marking just the third time Minnesota is an underdog. On Monday, 49ers vs. Cardinals will take place in Mexico City, marking the NFL‘s first game in Mexico’s capital since 2019. The Week 11 NFL spreads have the Niners as 7.5-point favorites. Who should you back in Week 11 NFL survivor pool picks and NFL office pool picks? All of the Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 11 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 153-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 11 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 11 NFL picks is that the Patriots (-3.5) cover the spread at home against the Jets. New England has won 13 straight games versus its divisional-rival, which includes a road win just three weeks ago. In that Week 8 contest, Zach Wilson threw three picks, which has been par for the course in his career against the Patriots. Across three career games, Wilson has thrown two touchdowns versus seven interceptions and been sacked seven times.

Overall this season, New England has won four of its last five and covered in five of its last six. The Jets’ offense isn’t the same as it was earlier in the season when Breece Hall was healthy, as New York ranks just 29th in third-down conversion percentage. With the Jets struggling to stay on the field, New England’s running game is projected to top 115 yards, with Rhamondre Stevenson having 84 total yards. New England’s defense will take over from there, with the Patriots forecasted to have at least three sacks and multiple takeaways. The model has the Patriots covering well over 60% of the time, with the Over (38.5) hitting in over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

Top Week 11 NFL survivor picks

The model’s Week 11 NFL knockout pool picks say to avoid the Commanders, even though they are favorites over the Texans. Houston has two scheduling advantages in this contest: is playing at home and faces a Washington team on a short week after the Commanders played on Monday. Additionally, the single most dynamic player on the field may play for Houston, Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite Dameon Pierce.

The fourth-round running back has averaged nearly 100 rushing yards over his last six contests, while the Commanders have given up over 110 rushing yards over their last five games. Houston has also been surprisingly strong against the pass this year, as its nine passing TDs allowed are the second-fewest in the NFL. That will make it tough for backup Taylor Heinicke to find the end zone, and Washington’s offense already struggles in key situations, ranking among the bottom six in third-down and fourth-down conversion percentage. See which team you should pick here.

Top Week 11 NFL office pool picks

One of the strongest Week 11 NFL football pool picks from the model is that the Ravens beat the Panthers. It’s hard to envision a path to victory for Carolina considering the weaknesses up and down the roster. The Panthers rank in the bottom 10 in scoring offense, scoring defense, total offense and total defense, the only team in the bottom 10 in all four categories.

On the other hand, Baltimore ranks fourth in scoring, and its plus-seven turnover differential is the third-best in the league. The Ravens’ defense is also looking like the D of old, as they’ve allowed 24 or fewer points in their last five games. Baltimore is poised to face Baker Mayfield, but the former No. 1 overall pick hasn’t won a road game in over a calendar year. There’s a reason why Baltimore is the biggest favorite of Week 11 and the model has the Ravens prevailing in well over 70% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 11 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 11 NFL schedule, and it also says a Super Bowl contender goes down hard. It’s also backing a shocking team in its NFL survivor picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL predictions, NFL pool picks, and NFL survivor picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.