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Saints vs. Cowboys odds, spread: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions by NFL model on 131-94 roll

The Dallas Cowboys (7-4) will visit the New Orleans Saints (5-6) in a primetime showdown on Thursday Night Football. Both squads are looking to bounce back from losses on Thanksgiving Day. The Cowboys lost in overtime to the Las Vegas Raiders, 36-33, while the Saints couldn’t keep up with the Buffalo Bills and fell 31-6. 

Kickoff from Caesars Superdome is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Dallas is favored by 4.5 points in the latest Saints vs. Cowboys odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 47.5. Before you lock in any Cowboys vs. Saints picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on an incredible 131-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has simulated Cowboys vs. Saints 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Cowboys vs. Saints:

  • Saints vs. Cowboys spread: Dallas -4.5
  • Saints vs. Cowboys over-under: 47.5 points 
  • Saints vs. Cowboys money line: Dallas -210, Saints +175
  • DAL: Cowboys have covered six straight games against NFC opponents
  • NO: Under is 9-1-1 in Saints’ last 11 Thursday games

Featured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys

Why the Cowboys can cover

Dallas was without receivers Amari Cooper (COVID-19) and CeeDee Lamb (concussion) in their loss to the Raiders but still had a successful today on offense. Dallas scored 33 points and finished with 437 total yards of offense. Receivers Michael Gallup and Cedrick Wilson stepped up in the absence of the aforementioned Cooper and Lamb.

Gallup racked up a season-high 106 yards on five receptions, and Wilson was right behind him with seven receptions for 104 yards. This duo flashed their ability to step up when needed and make critical catches downfield. Running back Tony Pollard also had a 100-yard kickoff return for a score.

Why the Saints can cover 

New Orleans trots out the 12th ranked total defense and allows 343.7 total yards per game. The Saints have one of the best run defenses in the league, allowing 91.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks third. Linebacker Demario Davis leads the team with 76 total tackles, including 51 solo. Davis also leads the team with 11 tackles for loss.

Cornerback Marshon Lattimore is sixth on the team in stops with 42. He has recorded a team-high 11 pass deflections as well. Safety Marcus Williams has been flying around for New Orleans. He is third on the team with 56 total tackles while coming away with two interceptions. All three players recorded at least five total tackles in the loss to Buffalo and will look to cause havoc for Dallas.

How to make Cowboys vs. Saints picks 

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 48 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Cowboys vs. Saints pick at SportsLine

So who wins Cowboys vs. Saints on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Saints spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,900 on its NFL picks, and find out.



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